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Qual 182018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red265
5434142.5
284784.4
2450112.4
Blue201
3751114.1
3839117.0
5996110.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602860100200400500600265201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#18
142.50.6
137.9→137.3
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
red by 25.5
3839
#31
117.011.1
94.9→106.1
Auto15.1
Teleop86.0
End13.7
Second
2450
#26
112.42.0
104.2→106.2
Auto14.6
Teleop82.7
End18.3
blue by 1.7
3751
#56
114.16.5
92.9→99.4
Auto16.1
Teleop83.2
End17.6
Third
2847
#58
84.48.3
82.7→91.0
Auto10.9
Teleop72.5
End0.6
blue by 26.1
5996
#48
110.512.7
84.5→97.2
Auto16.8
Teleop85.2
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed