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Qual 192018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red306
2529101.2
2513108.0
1816133.3
Blue125
3745125.8
2545109.0
3023109.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265287100150200350400450306125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#16
133.31.9
130.4→128.5
Auto17.1
Teleop97.9
End18.9
red by 7.5
3745
#34
125.80.8
123.4→124.2
Auto19.3
Teleop95.2
End9.2
Second
2513
#50
108.07.0
86.6→93.5
Auto16.1
Teleop84.1
End4.3
blue by 1.8
3023
#20
109.88.8
92.3→101.1
Auto15.1
Teleop86.4
End8.4
Third
2529
#49
101.212.3
78.1→90.4
Auto13.6
Teleop80.8
End6.0
blue by 7.8
2545
#30
109.012.0
82.3→94.4
Auto16.3
Teleop84.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed