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Qual 202018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red146
7038101.3
718093.3
4607140.5
Blue213
327899.0
3038140.3
2470109.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192250100400500600146213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#27
140.51.9
136.6→138.5
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
red by 0.2
3038
#15
140.310.3
90.2→100.4
Auto15.8
Teleop110.2
End16.8
Second
7038
#41
101.313.3
77.7→91.0
Auto13.5
Teleop82.2
End10.3
blue by 7.8
2470
#10
109.02.0
98.4→100.4
Auto17.3
Teleop76.4
End18.5
Third
7180
#57
93.39.6
77.7→87.4
Auto12.5
Teleop73.2
End11.2
blue by 5.7
3278
#60
99.06.5
93.3→99.8
Auto14.0
Teleop81.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed