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Qual 212018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red286
3454105.7
2052184.1
2181155.9
Blue228
2846149.0
3018130.6
3244149.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252770100200400500600700800286228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#6
184.10.8
172.5→173.3
Auto28.0
Teleop135.4
End20.0
red by 34.6
3244
#9
149.48.5
100.8→109.3
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
Second
2181
#17
155.92.1
146.0→148.0
Auto19.5
Teleop113.5
End23.2
red by 6.9
2846
#36
149.01.6
144.7→146.3
Auto18.5
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Third
3454
#52
105.74.8
92.7→97.5
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End3.3
blue by 24.9
3018
#28
130.67.0
104.2→111.2
Auto16.3
Teleop100.2
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed