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Red117
3184151.5
223295.3
2515101.8
Blue393
4207136.2
2823132.1
2508122.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269291100200400500117393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#19
151.50.9
149.3150.2
Auto19.7
Teleop114.1
End17.4
red by 15.3
4207
#12
136.211.3
106.4117.7
Auto17.1
Teleop105.9
End11.1
Second
2515
#59
101.84.8
92.297.0
Auto12.9
Teleop83.7
End5.5
blue by 30.3
132.11.2
128.3127.0
Auto23.2
Teleop96.5
End13.0
Third
2232
#54
95.34.5
99.9104.4
Auto12.6
Teleop77.9
End8.1
blue by 27.3
2508
#24
122.79.1
101.3110.4
Auto14.6
Teleop94.3
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed