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Red90
3081113.9
3407101.9
718093.3
Blue485
233164.2
3244149.4
5172207.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194414010030050060070090485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3081
#29
113.90.3
117.1116.8
Auto14.6
Teleop85.0
End13.2
blue by 93.5
207.32.0
187.5189.5
Auto27.5
Teleop138.6
End40.8
Second
3407
#53
101.917.0
65.982.9
Auto13.8
Teleop82.2
End7.7
blue by 62.3
233
#4
164.20.3
142.7143.1
Auto21.5
Teleop121.0
End24.1
Third
7180
#57
93.315.5
93.377.7
Auto12.5
Teleop73.2
End11.2
blue by 56.2
149.416.4
70.887.2
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsEarned