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Red254
5913130.4
4229107.7
3058129.9
Blue425
2181155.9
3298111.3
2823132.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275311100200400500254425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#22
130.40.5
120.8121.3
Auto17.2
Teleop97.2
End15.6
blue by 25.5
2181
#17
155.90.6
143.3143.9
Auto19.5
Teleop113.5
End23.2
Second
3058
#38
129.91.0
123.6124.6
Auto18.5
Teleop96.9
End16.8
blue by 2.2
132.12.0
130.6128.6
Auto23.2
Teleop96.5
End13.0
Third
4229
#40
107.717.6
60.878.3
Auto15.3
Teleop83.7
End10.3
blue by 3.5
3298
#47
111.30.9
105.6106.4
Auto19.5
Teleop80.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed