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Qual 52018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red345
3840131.6
2509149.2
2470109.0
Blue189
2498120.4
3023109.8
5434142.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613320100200300400500600345189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#1
149.21.6
129.9→131.5
Auto19.6
Teleop103.7
End27.7
red by 6.7
5434
#18
142.50.7
137.2→137.9
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
Second
3840
#23
131.61.2
126.7→127.9
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End8.3
red by 11.2
2498
#45
120.415.8
76.2→92.0
Auto16.7
Teleop88.2
End14.3
Third
2470
#10
109.00.8
97.6→98.4
Auto17.3
Teleop76.4
End18.5
blue by 0.7
3023
#20
109.815.8
76.5→92.3
Auto15.1
Teleop86.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed