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Red213
4607140.5
7068114.8
5637115.8
Blue178
3058129.9
718093.3
2545109.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062230100400500600213178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#27
140.50.2
138.5138.6
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
red by 10.6
3058
#38
129.90.9
125.5126.4
Auto18.5
Teleop96.9
End16.8
Second
5637
#14
115.88.1
90.999.0
Auto17.9
Teleop82.9
End18.2
red by 6.7
2545
#30
109.05.5
94.499.9
Auto16.3
Teleop84.0
End14.7
Third
7068
#44
114.86.0
89.595.5
Auto12.9
Teleop91.0
End10.7
red by 21.5
7180
#57
93.34.2
87.491.6
Auto12.5
Teleop73.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed