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Red303
2052184.1
2518128.1
5434142.5
Blue328
6709116.5
5172207.3
2501146.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3083390100200400500600700303328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.10.6
173.3173.9
Auto28.0
Teleop135.4
End20.0
blue by 23.3
207.32.1
194.1196.1
Auto27.5
Teleop138.6
End40.8
Second
5434
#18
142.50.5
137.0137.5
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
blue by 3.5
146.01.7
134.3135.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End24.0
Third
2518
#37
128.15.7
107.4113.1
Auto14.4
Teleop97.4
End20.1
red by 11.6
6709
#25
116.51.5
107.7109.1
Auto16.3
Teleop88.5
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsMissed