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Qual 462018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red271
253299.8
3184151.5
233164.2
Blue214
4607140.5
6709116.5
4229107.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452190100300400500271214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#4
164.22.7
150.6→153.3
Auto21.5
Teleop121.0
End24.1
red by 23.7
4607
#27
140.50.1
138.4→138.4
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
Second
3184
#19
151.50.0
149.5→149.5
Auto19.7
Teleop114.1
End17.4
red by 35.0
6709
#25
116.50.7
109.1→109.8
Auto16.3
Teleop88.5
End9.5
Third
2532
#43
99.82.8
95.2→98.0
Auto14.1
Teleop82.8
End1.3
blue by 7.9
4229
#40
107.70.8
104.9→105.7
Auto15.3
Teleop83.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed