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Qual 472018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red216
2825104.8
2509149.2
2545109.0
Blue131
3018130.6
3081113.9
3751114.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305245100200400500216131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#1
149.22.0
138.3→140.4
Auto19.6
Teleop103.7
End27.7
red by 18.6
3018
#28
130.65.3
115.4→120.7
Auto16.3
Teleop100.2
End15.6
Second
2545
#30
109.00.7
102.0→102.8
Auto16.3
Teleop84.0
End14.7
blue by 5.1
3751
#56
114.10.6
106.1→106.7
Auto16.1
Teleop83.2
End17.6
Third
2825
#33
104.83.3
106.5→109.7
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.8
blue by 9.1
3081
#29
113.90.6
113.1→112.5
Auto14.6
Teleop85.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed