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Red228
2515101.8
2498120.4
327899.0
Blue247
5637115.8
2501146.0
4549114.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623010100200400500600228247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2498
#45
120.47.1
115.2122.3
Auto16.7
Teleop88.2
End14.3
blue by 25.6
146.01.2
135.9137.2
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End24.0
Second
2515
#59
101.80.7
96.697.3
Auto12.9
Teleop83.7
End5.5
blue by 14.0
5637
#14
115.85.5
103.7109.3
Auto17.9
Teleop82.9
End18.2
Third
3278
#60
99.00.1
105.9106.0
Auto14.0
Teleop81.0
End0.5
blue by 15.9
4549
#11
114.80.6
113.5112.9
Auto16.8
Teleop81.1
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed