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Red129
2513108.0
248098.0
2518128.1
Blue174
2470109.0
3839117.0
2879114.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264267150200250300350129174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2518
#37
128.14.7
113.1117.8
Auto14.4
Teleop97.4
End20.1
red by 11.1
3839
#31
117.02.3
115.8118.0
Auto15.1
Teleop86.0
End13.7
Second
2513
#50
108.03.1
103.3106.4
Auto16.1
Teleop84.1
End4.3
blue by 6.0
2879
#32
114.05.2
109.3114.4
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End6.4
Third
2480
#51
98.03.6
93.296.9
Auto13.5
Teleop79.0
End5.1
blue by 11.1
2470
#10
109.00.7
104.5105.2
Auto17.3
Teleop76.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed