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Red450
5172207.3
4207136.2
3038140.3
Blue197
7068114.8
3454105.7
2508122.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4351640100200300400500600700450197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.31.7
197.7199.5
Auto27.5
Teleop138.6
End40.8
red by 84.7
2508
#24
122.70.4
118.9118.5
Auto14.6
Teleop94.3
End15.3
Second
3038
#15
140.34.9
121.4126.3
Auto15.8
Teleop110.2
End16.8
red by 25.5
7068
#44
114.84.8
102.1106.9
Auto12.9
Teleop91.0
End10.7
Third
4207
#12
136.22.5
133.3135.8
Auto17.1
Teleop105.9
End11.1
red by 30.6
3454
#52
105.70.1
103.3103.4
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed