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Red171
4207136.2
3102120.4
248098.0
Blue390
3244149.4
5637115.8
3023109.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299258100200400500171390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#12
136.22.9
135.8138.7
Auto17.1
Teleop105.9
End11.1
blue by 13.2
149.44.0
126.3130.3
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
Second
3102
#13
120.41.3
119.9121.1
Auto19.9
Teleop89.5
End9.1
red by 4.7
5637
#14
115.81.1
113.4112.3
Auto17.9
Teleop82.9
End18.2
Third
2480
#51
98.01.3
99.2100.4
Auto13.5
Teleop79.0
End5.1
blue by 11.8
3023
#20
109.81.9
102.4104.3
Auto15.1
Teleop86.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed