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Red361
253299.8
2470109.0
3751114.1
Blue277
2515101.8
3299136.4
3454105.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143050100400500600361277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3751
#56
114.11.7
107.1108.7
Auto16.1
Teleop83.2
End17.6
blue by 22.3
3299
#21
136.46.6
121.2127.7
Auto17.0
Teleop101.6
End17.4
Second
2470
#10
109.00.4
105.8106.2
Auto17.3
Teleop76.4
End18.5
red by 3.4
3454
#52
105.70.3
103.4103.8
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End3.3
Third
2532
#43
99.81.4
98.897.4
Auto14.1
Teleop82.8
End1.3
blue by 2.0
2515
#59
101.81.7
98.199.8
Auto12.9
Teleop83.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed