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Red274
4539208.0
2175172.0
3750190.9
Blue302
4536129.3
5172213.0
3130205.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412335200300500600700274302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.00.3
208.3208.0
Auto25.3
Teleop150.7
End29.7
blue by 5.0
213.00.2
212.6212.8
Auto23.2
Teleop152.7
End37.3
Second
190.90.7
190.2190.9
Auto18.0
Teleop149.0
End23.6
blue by 14.7
3130
#10
205.60.3
206.5206.2
Auto23.3
Teleop154.9
End25.2
Third
2175
#15
172.00.5
171.5172.0
Auto21.0
Teleop132.9
End17.6
red by 42.6
129.30.4
128.4128.7
Auto14.6
Teleop96.3
End19.0