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Red469
4539208.0
2175172.0
3750190.9
Blue266
4536129.3
5172213.0
3130205.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410340100200300500600469266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.00.3
208.9208.6
Auto25.3
Teleop150.7
End29.7
blue by 5.0
213.00.3
212.1212.4
Auto23.2
Teleop152.7
End37.3
Second
190.90.8
188.6189.4
Auto18.0
Teleop149.0
End23.6
blue by 14.7
3130
#10
205.60.3
207.1206.8
Auto23.3
Teleop154.9
End25.2
Third
2175
#15
172.00.6
170.3170.8
Auto21.0
Teleop132.9
End17.6
red by 42.6
129.30.5
127.4128.0
Auto14.6
Teleop96.3
End19.0