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Red406
876165.8
3244164.5
1816158.2
Blue335
4539208.0
4536129.3
2491156.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3663230100200400500600406335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
165.80.1
164.9165.0
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End16.3
blue by 42.2
208.01.5
210.4208.9
Auto25.3
Teleop150.7
End29.7
Second
164.50.9
162.8163.6
Auto23.9
Teleop116.0
End21.4
red by 7.8
156.80.7
157.5156.8
Auto24.3
Teleop117.8
End14.6
Third
158.21.6
154.0155.6
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End20.9
red by 28.9
129.31.7
125.8127.4
Auto14.6
Teleop96.3
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsEarned