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Red258
4536129.3
4607132.7
223994.1
Blue279
7038106.5
2846153.5
876165.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033500100300400500600700800258279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#23
132.71.0
133.9132.9
Auto18.9
Teleop104.6
End10.6
blue by 33.2
876
#2
165.80.3
165.4165.1
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End16.3
Second
129.31.3
121.3122.6
Auto14.6
Teleop96.3
End19.0
blue by 24.2
2846
#19
153.50.1
154.0154.0
Auto22.2
Teleop122.8
End7.3
Third
2239
#29
94.10.1
94.194.0
Auto9.7
Teleop81.1
End2.2
blue by 12.4
7038
#11
106.50.6
106.6107.1
Auto14.1
Teleop83.5
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed