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Red120
3082125.0
3184134.1
253280.7
Blue271
2177108.7
4539208.0
4511110.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1863660100300400500600700120271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#17
134.11.2
137.0135.8
Auto16.7
Teleop103.8
End12.5
blue by 73.9
208.02.4
216.8214.4
Auto25.3
Teleop150.7
End29.7
Second
3082
#20
125.01.2
129.5128.3
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End21.0
red by 14.2
4511
#32
110.82.0
116.7114.6
Auto15.6
Teleop87.8
End7.4
Third
2532
#35
80.71.5
85.984.3
Auto15.5
Teleop71.1
End-3.6
blue by 28.0
2177
#33
108.71.1
114.2113.0
Auto17.1
Teleop82.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsMissed