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Red238
2606143.6
3926129.4
4859126.7
Blue436
2052178.0
4198164.4
1816158.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2384120100200300500600238436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2606
#30
143.60.7
145.1144.4
Auto16.8
Teleop109.1
End16.8
blue by 34.4
178.02.1
183.1181.1
Auto24.4
Teleop133.7
End19.1
Second
3926
#31
129.41.0
133.7132.7
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End11.4
blue by 35.0
4198
#21
164.41.1
162.5163.6
Auto18.2
Teleop119.7
End26.0
Third
4859
#27
126.70.1
129.4129.3
Auto15.9
Teleop100.2
End7.5
blue by 31.5
158.21.3
150.4151.6
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsMissed