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Red163
2129113.1
2855109.3
2500115.6
Blue275
3100112.4
3750190.9
2220143.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1753880100300500600163275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#13
115.61.6
120.5118.8
Auto17.5
Teleop89.1
End6.5
blue by 75.3
190.90.5
185.8186.3
Auto18.0
Teleop149.0
End23.6
Second
2129
#24
113.11.5
118.0116.6
Auto14.0
Teleop87.1
End8.2
blue by 30.8
2220
#12
143.91.0
149.2148.2
Auto21.4
Teleop109.5
End11.0
Third
2855
#26
109.30.2
109.6109.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.4
End11.0
blue by 3.2
3100
#34
112.44.0
124.8120.8
Auto16.1
Teleop88.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed