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Red357
4539208.0
2987163.4
1816158.2
Blue250
2175172.0
4607132.7
2052178.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3852790100200500600700357250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.02.2
214.4212.2
Auto25.3
Teleop150.7
End29.7
red by 30.0
178.01.4
181.1179.7
Auto24.4
Teleop133.7
End19.1
Second
2987
#14
163.40.1
163.6163.4
Auto20.4
Teleop126.1
End15.8
blue by 8.6
2175
#15
172.00.8
167.7168.4
Auto21.0
Teleop132.9
End17.6
Third
158.21.3
151.6152.9
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End20.9
red by 25.5
4607
#23
132.70.3
132.9132.5
Auto18.9
Teleop104.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
73%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed