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Red151
4198164.4
7038106.5
3407100.7
Blue451
2129113.1
876165.8
3184134.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25832905001,0001,500151451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#21
164.41.2
163.6164.7
Auto18.2
Teleop119.7
End26.0
blue by 1.5
876
#2
165.80.6
165.1164.5
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End16.3
Second
7038
#11
106.50.2
107.1107.3
Auto14.1
Teleop83.5
End9.2
blue by 27.6
3184
#17
134.11.3
135.8134.5
Auto16.7
Teleop103.8
End12.5
Third
3407
#28
100.70.2
102.8102.6
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End8.3
blue by 12.4
2129
#24
113.11.6
116.6115.0
Auto14.0
Teleop87.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed