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Red174
253280.7
3100112.4
2606143.6
Blue272
223994.1
4549106.0
5172213.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2093390100300400500174272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2606
#30
143.60.5
144.4143.9
Auto16.8
Teleop109.1
End16.8
blue by 69.4
213.00.7
214.0213.3
Auto23.2
Teleop152.7
End37.3
Second
3100
#34
112.43.6
120.8117.2
Auto16.1
Teleop88.4
End7.4
red by 6.4
4549
#36
106.01.1
109.5108.5
Auto17.4
Teleop78.1
End6.6
Third
2532
#35
80.71.6
84.382.7
Auto15.5
Teleop71.1
End-3.6
blue by 13.4
2239
#29
94.10.3
94.094.3
Auto9.7
Teleop81.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed