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Red411
7038106.5
2175172.0
3244164.5
Blue289
4198164.4
3082125.0
2987163.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330316200250300350400450411289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#15
172.00.5
168.4168.9
Auto21.0
Teleop132.9
End17.6
red by 7.6
4198
#21
164.40.2
164.7164.5
Auto18.2
Teleop119.7
End26.0
Second
164.50.1
162.8162.8
Auto23.9
Teleop116.0
End21.4
red by 1.2
2987
#14
163.40.1
163.4163.4
Auto20.4
Teleop126.1
End15.8
Third
7038
#11
106.50.9
107.3106.4
Auto14.1
Teleop83.5
End9.2
blue by 18.5
3082
#20
125.01.2
127.0125.8
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed