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Red185
4859126.7
2846153.5
2129113.1
Blue343
4549106.0
3926129.4
4539208.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27432205001,0001,5002,000185343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#19
153.50.8
153.6154.4
Auto22.2
Teleop122.8
End7.3
blue by 54.5
208.01.7
212.2210.4
Auto25.3
Teleop150.7
End29.7
Second
4859
#27
126.71.0
129.4128.4
Auto15.9
Teleop100.2
End7.5
blue by 2.7
3926
#31
129.41.4
132.1130.7
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End11.4
Third
2129
#24
113.10.6
115.0114.4
Auto14.0
Teleop87.1
End8.2
red by 7.1
4549
#36
106.01.3
108.5107.2
Auto17.4
Teleop78.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed