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Red304
4511110.8
5172213.0
3883114.4
Blue325
2491156.8
2220143.9
4607132.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042910100200400500600304325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.00.9
213.3212.5
Auto23.2
Teleop152.7
End37.3
red by 56.3
156.81.1
158.6157.5
Auto24.3
Teleop117.8
End14.6
Second
3883
#25
114.41.6
116.8115.3
Auto16.9
Teleop92.2
End5.7
blue by 29.5
2220
#12
143.91.9
147.0145.2
Auto21.4
Teleop109.5
End11.0
Third
4511
#32
110.81.4
112.9111.5
Auto15.6
Teleop87.8
End7.4
blue by 21.9
4607
#23
132.70.4
132.5132.1
Auto18.9
Teleop104.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed