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Red333
2500115.6
1816158.2
9992113.7
Blue214
253280.7
223994.1
3130205.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274271150200250300350400333214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.21.1
152.9154.0
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End20.9
blue by 47.4
3130
#10
205.60.7
208.4207.7
Auto23.3
Teleop154.9
End25.2
Second
2500
#13
115.61.3
117.2115.9
Auto17.5
Teleop89.1
End6.5
red by 21.5
2239
#29
94.10.1
94.394.2
Auto9.7
Teleop81.1
End2.2
Third
9992
#22
113.73.4
105.9109.4
Auto13.8
Teleop86.0
End17.1
red by 33.0
2532
#35
80.71.1
82.781.6
Auto15.5
Teleop71.1
End-3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed