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Red296
876165.8
3055128.6
4207134.1
Blue235
2855109.3
2177108.7
2606143.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3802150100300500600296235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
165.80.3
164.5164.9
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End16.3
red by 22.3
2606
#30
143.60.3
143.9143.7
Auto16.8
Teleop109.1
End16.8
Second
4207
#18
134.10.2
133.8134.0
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End6.8
red by 24.8
2855
#26
109.30.1
108.9109.1
Auto15.3
Teleop83.4
End11.0
Third
3055
#16
128.60.2
128.4128.5
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End21.3
red by 19.9
2177
#33
108.71.9
112.0110.1
Auto17.1
Teleop82.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed