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Red189
2500115.6
223994.1
4859126.7
Blue355
3883114.4
2129113.1
2175172.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033440100300400500600700189355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4859
#27
126.71.7
128.4126.7
Auto15.9
Teleop100.2
End7.5
blue by 45.2
2175
#15
172.01.3
168.9170.3
Auto21.0
Teleop132.9
End17.6
Second
2500
#13
115.60.3
115.9115.6
Auto17.5
Teleop89.1
End6.5
red by 1.2
3883
#25
114.40.9
115.3114.4
Auto16.9
Teleop92.2
End5.7
Third
2239
#29
94.10.1
94.294.1
Auto9.7
Teleop81.1
End2.2
blue by 19.0
2129
#24
113.11.3
114.4113.1
Auto14.0
Teleop87.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed