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Red293
2846153.5
4207134.1
4198164.4
Blue403
3082125.0
5172213.0
2855109.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572910100200400500600293403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#21
164.40.1
164.5164.4
Auto18.2
Teleop119.7
End26.0
blue by 48.7
213.00.3
212.5212.1
Auto23.2
Teleop152.7
End37.3
Second
2846
#19
153.50.3
154.4154.1
Auto22.2
Teleop122.8
End7.3
red by 28.5
3082
#20
125.00.8
125.8125.0
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End21.0
Third
4207
#18
134.10.1
134.0134.1
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End6.8
red by 24.8
2855
#26
109.30.2
109.1109.3
Auto15.3
Teleop83.4
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsEarned