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Qual 112018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red250
5914145.2
4623160.9
6175131.5
Blue453
4539218.2
2175168.7
2846150.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2634590100200300400500600250453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4623
#36
160.91.7
157.8→159.6
Auto18.1
Teleop118.1
End23.2
blue by 57.3
4539
#2
218.20.6
221.5→220.9
Auto27.1
Teleop155.9
End35.8
Second
5914
#14
145.20.5
144.7→144.2
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End21.6
blue by 23.6
2175
#12
168.70.3
173.8→173.5
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7
Third
6175
#34
131.50.0
130.0→130.1
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
blue by 19.1
2846
#20
150.51.0
145.0→146.0
Auto21.1
Teleop118.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed