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Red256
2977159.9
2883149.8
3184149.8
Blue461
5638142.0
5172211.1
2512154.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331335250300350400450256461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2977
#28
159.91.1
162.5161.4
Auto19.8
Teleop116.9
End23.5
blue by 51.2
211.11.1
206.6205.5
Auto24.7
Teleop147.2
End38.6
Second
3184
#29
149.80.7
151.8151.1
Auto18.3
Teleop112.0
End19.7
blue by 4.8
2512
#18
154.60.5
148.0148.5
Auto21.9
Teleop117.7
End12.8
Third
2883
#31
149.80.5
146.9147.4
Auto17.5
Teleop113.9
End18.8
red by 7.8
5638
#33
142.00.8
132.9133.7
Auto15.4
Teleop108.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned51%Face the Boss oddsEarned