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Qual 132018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red227
2501154.4
2227158.5
5278147.3
Blue493
4174159.2
2052186.5
3130203.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280429100200500600700227493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2227
#7
158.50.2
155.9→155.7
Auto18.5
Teleop114.9
End26.6
blue by 44.6
3130
#6
203.20.9
201.6→202.6
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
Second
2501
#22
154.40.3
154.9→155.2
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End22.3
blue by 32.1
2052
#3
186.50.2
183.2→183.0
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
Third
5278
#21
147.31.1
146.1→147.2
Auto19.6
Teleop110.8
End19.1
blue by 11.9
4174
#17
159.21.3
154.2→155.5
Auto17.1
Teleop117.7
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned