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Red360
3100148.5
2846150.5
3276185.1
Blue216
3038142.3
2502171.4
6628142.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823190100200500600700360216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#15
185.10.7
186.6185.8
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
red by 13.7
171.40.4
169.2169.6
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
Second
2846
#20
150.50.6
146.0146.6
Auto21.1
Teleop118.8
End8.9
red by 8.1
6628
#30
142.50.7
145.4146.1
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.8
Third
3100
#26
148.50.9
153.9153.0
Auto20.0
Teleop111.8
End15.6
red by 6.2
3038
#25
142.30.2
146.0145.7
Auto17.9
Teleop108.6
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed