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Red271
5638142.0
6628142.5
5278147.3
Blue430
4539218.2
2169139.6
3244163.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2734280100200400500600271430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5278
#21
147.30.5
147.2147.7
Auto19.6
Teleop110.8
End19.1
blue by 70.9
218.20.6
220.2219.7
Auto27.1
Teleop155.9
End35.8
Second
6628
#30
142.50.4
146.1145.8
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.8
blue by 21.0
163.50.1
162.4162.3
Auto23.2
Teleop110.6
End30.2
Third
5638
#33
142.01.9
135.3137.1
Auto15.4
Teleop108.7
End14.9
red by 2.5
2169
#11
139.60.5
135.9136.4
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed53%Face the Boss oddsEarned