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Red496
2987167.3
2502171.4
5172211.1
Blue325
6175131.5
2501154.4
3630121.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4612390100200300400500600496325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.10.6
205.6206.2
Auto24.7
Teleop147.2
End38.6
red by 56.7
2501
#22
154.40.1
155.2155.1
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End22.3
Second
171.40.5
169.6169.1
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
red by 39.9
6175
#34
131.50.7
129.8130.5
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
Third
2987
#10
167.30.4
167.9168.3
Auto20.9
Teleop126.0
End19.1
red by 45.5
3630
#27
121.90.9
123.9123.0
Auto19.5
Teleop91.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
82%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed