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Red263
2512154.6
4607134.0
2977159.9
Blue402
3750184.9
2052186.5
2175168.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2714210100200300500600263402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2977
#28
159.90.1
160.5160.4
Auto19.8
Teleop116.9
End23.5
blue by 26.7
186.50.2
183.0183.2
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
Second
2512
#18
154.60.7
149.9150.6
Auto21.9
Teleop117.7
End12.8
blue by 30.2
3750
#13
184.90.5
183.3182.9
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
Third
4607
#24
134.00.6
134.2133.7
Auto18.2
Teleop104.6
End12.6
blue by 34.8
2175
#12
168.71.0
173.1172.1
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsMissed