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Red370
2491156.8
2501154.4
5914145.2
Blue296
3276185.1
6175131.5
3038142.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374360250300400450500370296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.81.0
154.9155.9
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9
blue by 28.3
3276
#15
185.10.4
185.3184.9
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
Second
2501
#22
154.40.1
155.1155.2
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End22.3
red by 12.1
3038
#25
142.30.3
144.7144.4
Auto17.9
Teleop108.6
End15.8
Third
5914
#14
145.20.4
142.8142.5
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End21.6
red by 13.7
6175
#34
131.50.8
130.5131.3
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed