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Red327
2175168.7
4174159.2
2220153.1
Blue272
2883149.8
2169139.6
4607134.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369285100200400500600327272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#12
168.70.6
172.1171.4
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7
red by 19.0
2883
#31
149.80.2
147.9148.1
Auto17.5
Teleop113.9
End18.8
Second
4174
#17
159.21.6
156.9158.5
Auto17.1
Teleop117.7
End19.5
red by 19.6
2169
#11
139.60.7
136.4137.2
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6
Third
2220
#19
153.10.1
153.5153.4
Auto24.4
Teleop113.1
End13.6
red by 19.1
4607
#24
134.00.4
133.7133.3
Auto18.2
Teleop104.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed