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Red330
3926137.3
2846150.5
3750184.9
Blue375
5172211.1
5278147.3
2181161.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332380100200300500600330375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#13
184.90.2
182.9182.7
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
blue by 26.3
211.10.8
206.2207.0
Auto24.7
Teleop147.2
End38.6
Second
2846
#20
150.50.9
147.2148.1
Auto21.1
Teleop118.8
End8.9
blue by 11.3
2181
#16
161.91.0
158.6159.5
Auto21.4
Teleop117.2
End21.9
Third
3926
#35
137.30.6
136.6137.2
Auto18.5
Teleop102.2
End15.5
blue by 10.0
5278
#21
147.30.2
147.7147.9
Auto19.6
Teleop110.8
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsEarned