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Red279
5278147.3
3244163.5
2491156.8
Blue264
4623160.9
2883149.8
2501154.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378344200300400500279264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.50.1
162.6162.7
Auto23.2
Teleop110.6
End30.2
red by 2.6
4623
#36
160.90.6
160.3161.0
Auto18.1
Teleop118.1
End23.2
Second
156.80.9
155.9156.8
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9
red by 2.3
2501
#22
154.40.1
155.2155.4
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End22.3
Third
5278
#21
147.30.4
147.9148.3
Auto19.6
Teleop110.8
End19.1
blue by 2.5
2883
#31
149.80.4
148.1148.4
Auto17.5
Teleop113.9
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed