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Red307
2052186.5
3184149.8
2169139.6
Blue437
1816150.7
5914145.2
3276185.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373317100200500600700307437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.50.3
183.6183.9
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
red by 1.5
3276
#15
185.10.5
184.9184.4
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
Second
3184
#29
149.80.5
149.6150.0
Auto18.3
Teleop112.0
End19.7
blue by 0.9
150.71.8
143.7145.5
Auto20.1
Teleop109.1
End19.8
Third
2169
#11
139.60.8
137.2137.9
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6
blue by 5.6
5914
#14
145.20.3
142.5142.2
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned42%Face the Boss oddsEarned