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Red355
3926137.3
2181161.9
2502171.4
Blue283
3630121.9
3100148.5
5638142.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390283100200500600355283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.40.1
169.0169.1
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
red by 22.8
3100
#26
148.51.1
151.8150.6
Auto20.0
Teleop111.8
End15.6
Second
2181
#16
161.91.0
159.5160.6
Auto21.4
Teleop117.2
End21.9
red by 19.8
5638
#33
142.01.7
138.4140.1
Auto15.4
Teleop108.7
End14.9
Third
3926
#35
137.30.5
137.2137.7
Auto18.5
Teleop102.2
End15.5
red by 15.4
3630
#27
121.90.3
122.5122.2
Auto19.5
Teleop91.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed