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Red283
3750184.9
2512154.6
6175131.5
Blue423
6628142.5
2220153.1
4539218.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311403200500600283423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#13
184.90.1
182.7182.6
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
blue by 33.4
218.20.1
219.5219.5
Auto27.1
Teleop155.9
End35.8
Second
2512
#18
154.61.1
151.3152.4
Auto21.9
Teleop117.7
End12.8
red by 1.6
2220
#19
153.10.2
153.4153.2
Auto24.4
Teleop113.1
End13.6
Third
6175
#34
131.50.4
131.3131.7
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
blue by 11.0
6628
#30
142.51.1
145.3144.1
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsEarned