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Red291
4174159.2
3276185.1
3926137.3
Blue336
6175131.5
2977159.9
2491156.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403311200500600700291336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#15
185.10.6
184.4185.0
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
red by 25.2
2977
#28
159.90.1
160.6160.7
Auto19.8
Teleop116.9
End23.5
Second
4174
#17
159.20.6
159.7160.3
Auto17.1
Teleop117.7
End19.5
red by 2.4
156.80.0
156.8156.8
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9
Third
3926
#35
137.30.4
137.7138.1
Auto18.5
Teleop102.2
End15.5
red by 5.8
6175
#34
131.50.3
131.7132.0
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed