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Qual 432018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red419
2175168.7
3038142.3
2169139.6
Blue168
2225137.8
2177115.2
3100148.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353302100200400500600419168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#12
168.70.8
169.5→168.7
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7
red by 20.2
3100
#26
148.50.3
149.9→149.6
Auto20.0
Teleop111.8
End15.6
Second
3038
#25
142.30.7
143.1→142.5
Auto17.9
Teleop108.6
End15.8
red by 4.5
2225
#23
137.80.3
138.1→138.4
Auto17.2
Teleop108.0
End12.6
Third
2169
#11
139.60.4
138.4→138.8
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6
red by 24.4
2177
#32
115.21.2
113.8→115.0
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed